Run a randomized recovery experiment
Compare two variants with stable 50/50 assignment, a pre-set observation window and uncertainty reporting.
Choose one question before starting
- Create a conditional flow and open its experiment settings. Choose copy, timing or offer as the single changing dimension.
- Set the enrollment start and end, a purchase observation window of 1–14 days and a minimum completed sample per variant of at least 30. The minimum is a guardrail, not a statistical power calculation.
- Edit variant B while keeping the other dimensions unchanged. The API rejects multiple-dimension changes and identical variants.
- Save and enable deliberately. Eligible shoppers receive an independent 50/50 assignment that stays fixed for their email within this store and experiment.
- Wait until enrollment has ended and the full outcome window has elapsed. Review uncertainty and sample size before starting a separate follow-up experiment.
Use purchases, not opens, as the outcome
The primary outcome is any recorded paid order by the assigned email within its observation window, including purchases without a recovery click. Actual payment timestamps are used when supplied by connector 0.8; a delayed or repeated hook is not treated as a new purchase. Each shopper contributes at most one positive outcome. The purchase-rate metric is not reduced by a later refund; refunds are separately visible in financial reports.
Only fully observed shoppers enter purchase-rate estimates. The report shows assigned and mature counts, 95% Wilson intervals for each rate and a Newcombe interval for B minus A. It never declares an early winner or promotes a variant automatically. Insufficient samples and overlapping uncertainty produce an inconclusive result.
This compares A with B. It does not measure incremental lift against sending no email. Enrolled experiment designs are frozen; use a new experiment ID for a new question. Assignment records use a store-scoped pseudonymous key and retain the recorded purchase outcome even after the short-lived order ledger expires.
Include this article and your store’s support summary.